Election reflections

Nearly one month after the election, some things are clear.

Firstly, this was an election without a victory. Malcolm Turnbull has been left battered and bruised. He is clearly not the saviour. Bill Shorten has not won and Labor was rejected by Australians, despite all his attempts to portray things differently. And the Greens have been hammered.

However, there were some winners. Pauline Hanson’s One Nation has been far more successful than any of the commentators imagined. Nick Xenophon has achieved. And behind the scenes, political campaigns from both sides of politics had a big impact.

Here are my six election reflections, plus a word about the Australian Liberty Alliance’s campaign in Queensland.

Loser #1: Malcolm Turnbull

Malcolm Turnbull was the biggest loser in the election. He was lauded only 9 months ago by the media and intellectual and political elite as a great orator and visionary. However, the Australian people promptly and agilely abandoned his new ‘progressive’ Liberal party.

Turnbull’s campaign was soft on borders, soft on climate change and soft conservative values. However, it did include dinner (on halal crockery) with Islamic hate-preachers and a large swipe at Cory Bernardi for his thoroughly conservative position on marriage.

Overall, Turnbull is now responsible for the loss of at least 14 seats as well as inflicting the longest and the most boring and uninspiring election campaign on Australians in living memory.

Oh yeah, his double-dissolution gamble was also a disaster that is likely to see the Coalition lose several seats in the Senate as well.

My prediction is that Turnbull will be lucky to limp through the next term of parliament.

Loser #2: The Greens

To put it bluntly (and happily) the Greens were smashed at the election.

Consider this: the Coalition suffered a 2.3% swing in the Senate and Labor also lost another 0.3%. There was also a large slice of the Palmer vote up for grabs. Yet the Greens did not pick any of this up and went backwards themselves. They may well lose a number of Senate seats.

If the Greens were ever to move into the mainstream it was at this election. Australians are clearly unhappy with the majors and have turned to alternatives, especially in the Senate. But the Greens failed because Australians have had a long hard look at them since 2007 and have come to the conclusion that their policies are simply offensive to all common sense.

True, the Greens will hang around like a bad smell because they are propped up by a hard-core bunch of socially suicidal lunatics. But that is hardly a compliment.

My prediction is that Greens will continue to decline, partly due to the growth of even loonier groups like the Animal Justice Party. Whoever thought that an organisation with crazy ideas to endow animals with ‘human rights’ and pretty much ban meat could work such a public good in Australia?

Loser #3: Conservatives in general

While this election has seen conservative Australians rally hard, they have still lost.

There is one simple reason for this: we are not organised enough and we don’t understand the system.

A perfect example is the Senate count in Tasmania. Conservatives should have won six seats in that state. However, their votes exhausted in huge numbers leaving the Greens to sneak over the line and win the final spot by just 141 votes. That is a bad loss. Whatever people may think about Pauline Hanson’s One Nation, it would have been much better for Australia if it had picked up that final seat.

And it would not have taken much at all. Approximately 9,000 of the 9,500 exhausted votes in Tasmania came as conservative candidates were eliminated. To have changed this situation, all it would have taken is for 142 of those voters to have numbered every box above the line.

My prediction is that these mistakes will continue to occur until a well-organised conservative activist group forms.

Winner #1: Pauline Hanson

Without a doubt, Pauline Hanson was the biggest winner at this election.

One Nation is in with a red-hot chance of winning four Senate seats and could snare even more. There may well be a recount in Tasmania as well, where it fell just 141 votes short.

Pauline Hanson was successful because she was able to reach out to the enormous number of Australians rightly concerned about the growth of Islam here. Her message was simple and it resonated with conservative voters equally concerned about the direction of the Liberals under Malcolm Turnbull.

My prediction is that these concerns will only grow in the next three years. The question remains as to whether Pauline Hanson has the ability to build a team and deliver results for her supporters. For the sake of Australia, I hope so. But one thing is certain: Islam will be front and centre in the national debate in this term of parliament. That is a good thing.

Winner #2: GetUp!

I hate to say this, but GetUp did very well during the campaign.

GetUp is organised. It is focused. It campaigns hard and coordinates efforts to support Labor and the Greens.

In a nutshell, GetUp is doing everything conservatives should be doing. It’s about time we hit back. We’ve all seen Cory Bernardi’s efforts to start the Australian Conservatives. I hope it can get off the ground and I have signed up. I’ve also signed up with the Queensland Conservatives.

Despite GetUp’s success, we should take heart. There is a huge opportunity for a conservative action group and my prediction is that if one took off, it would achieve far more than GetUp ever could. Australians are naturally conservative and do not support groups like GetUp. It is just a winner at the moment because conservatives campaign like losers.

Winner #3: Organised conservatives

Despite everything said above, conservatives did enjoy success when they organised themselves.

And there is no better example than in the seat of Longman, where Wyatt Roy was voted out. Wyatt Roy is not conservative, despite masquerading as one inside the Liberal Party. He deserved to lose and a coordinated effort by minor conservative candidates successfully removed him.

Longman was the only seat in Queensland where the Australian Liberty Alliance candidate preferenced Labor over the Liberals. Other conservative minor parties that did the same or offered split tickets included Family First, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation and Katter’s Australian Party.

There was a coordinated effort by LNP insiders and minor conservative parties to remove Wyatt Roy and it worked.

My prediction is that a similar fate awaits other ‘progressive’ Liberals. Warren Entsch is next on the list in Queensland.

The Australian Liberty Alliance campaign in Queensland

I would like to thank the nearly 30,000 Queenslanders who voted for me and the Australian Liberty Alliance in Queensland. I must also thank the thousand or so volunteers who worked hard all over Queensland.

While it is disappointing that we were not successful at this election, I do know this:

  • The problems of Islam will only grow worse in the next three years,
  • The debt we leave to our children will only grow in the next three years,
  • Political correctness and the attack on truth and real family values will only grow in the next three years.

As such, there is more reason than ever for us to continue the fight and I am not giving up.

At the start of the campaign I held the view that the anti-Islamic vote could well elect a Senator in every state. This view has been vindicated, with candidates prepared to stand up to Islam likely to secure seats in Queensland, New South Wales, Tasmania and Western Australia. There may also be additional Senators elected in Victoria and South Australia prepared to speak against Islam.

I am proud to have helped raise these issues and I am now willing to provide support, if required, to assist these Senators to achieve the best outcome for Australia. At the end of the day my personal goals will always be secondary when it comes to achieving a greater good.

Finally, I am keenly aware that there are numerous conservative groups working in Australia. I would love to see them work closely together to achieve better results. If you would too, please sign the petition below.

It's time for conservatives to work together

  

*** This petition will be presented to conservatives within the Liberal/National coalition and to all minor conservative political parties and lobby groups ***

I am a conservative Australian and I wish to see:

- smaller government
- lower debt
- the threat of Islam addressed
- family values protected
- political correctness ended.

I believe that the many conservative political parties in Australia are filled by good people with good intentions. They strive to achieve a better Australian future for our children. Furthermore, these parties have common conservative goals to protect our Western Christian values and institutions.

Unfortunately, Australia has seen the rise of radical political groups such as GetUp and the Greens, who have organised themselves to secure political control far beyond their popular support. Meanwhile, the Labor Party has abandoned working families for the pursuit of agendas such as climate change and homosexual marriage and 'progressives' inside the Liberal/National coalition have betrayed conservative voters.

There is an urgent requirement for all conservative politicians, political parties and lobby groups to work together to achieve common goals. I support any endeavours to see that this occurs swiftly and successfully.

**your signature**

312 signatures

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Author: Bernard Gaynor

Bernard Gaynor is a married father of eight children. He has a background in military intelligence, Arabic language and culture and is an outspoken advocate of conservative and family values.

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14 Comments

  1. Problems with Islam will certainly grow worse under the new religious vilification laws.
    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/act-news/act-parliament-passes-religious-vilification-laws-20160804-gqlagu.html

    From both the entrails and the tea leaves, it is clear that the Religion of Tolerance will thrive under the rule of the evil twins: racial vilification laws (18C) and religious vilification laws.

    In the UK the problems of the native Britons continue apace.

    “Rotherham abuse scandal: horrific reality of ‘industrial scale’ child grooming gangs revealed”

    http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/697583/Rotherham-abuse-scandal-child-grooming-gangs-industrial-scale-victims-CSE

    “Grooming of young girls by predominantly Kashmiri [uh-oh – the racial profile] men is still occurring on an industrial scale…” The Express does not dare to designate the Religion of Tolerance, only that the ‘authorities are failing to tackle the organised sex-crime racket’.

    In fact the ‘authorities’: the City Council, the hospitals, the social workers, the police have all been stood down on Muslim / Paki/ Kashmiri sex crime gangs trafficking British school girls / boys for over a decade.

    Remember how all the Kaffirs under the racial vilification laws / religious vilification laws just assumed that the sex trafficking of children would stop because it was illegal to designate the perpetrators and the police were caught covering this up for decades? Not a chance.

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  2. Here’s another one for the “problems of Islam will only grow worse in the next few years” file [POIWOGWINFY].

    Imam Ali Hummuda of Cardiff’s Al Manar Mosque has told the teen-age jihadis that Islam permits them to have sex slaves.

    And here was I thinking that Islam had outlawed sex slavery.

    To all the young jihadis aspiring to follow in the footsteps of their fellow Al Manar mosqites who joined IS in Syria – sex slaves would seem to be part of their prep.

    How much UK pound sterling does the Muslim schools associated with Al Manar rake in for the jizzya?

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3716280/Yes-boys-sex-slaves-Outrage-British-Muslim-cleric-mosque-Cardiff-jihadis-radicalised-tells-teenagers-captives-permissible-Islam.html

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  3. “The problems of Islam will only grow worse in the next few years”

    And ‘poof’ right on cue – Keysar Trad is the new head of the Australian Federation of Islamic Councils. Keysar attained his near 72 virgin status with his ‘criminal dregs’ comment in the could not make this stuff up file:

    “The criminal dregs of white society [ a ref to Australia ] colonised this country…and the descendents of these criminal dregs tell us they are better than us” [that would be a ref to the religion of tolerance ROT].
    http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/keysar_trad/

    The J-stream media does not even attempt to tidy up this CNMTSU type of Islamic comment for the criminal dregs. This is the stuff they just censor outright.

    And FYI – the best blood of the White society of the Isles is actualially IN Australia. The common names read like the battle order of the clans and family names on the cairns of places like Naseby, Killiekrankie, the Boyne, Culloden.

    These were the people who fought a 50 years war for three nations against the entity that today styles itself as ‘The Crown’ and its Empire of the City [of London]. They didn’t kiss King Willie’s loof – the stooge then – and they aren’t going to kiss your ass now.

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  4. I believe Islam will make large forward progress in populating Australia…..We know their aims and it is clear what we have to do to stop them. It really is a war and one we MUST WIN. lets work together.

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  5. Firstly, I wish to congratulate ALA and it’s candidates from all states for the professional image and principles and what they gave of themselves for the party for this election. It makes me proud to be a member of this new conservative party. Coming 12th out of 50 parties is something to be proud of.
    It seems, in my opinion, that too many people had too high an expectation from a party that was only ten months young and sitting their very first election. When you look at the stats we actually did extremely well for a first run. What we need to do now is band together, stop the back biting and blame game. I for one am going to continue doing every thing I can to promote, assist, and encourage the ALA candidates, both upper and lower house, to keep up the fantastic work they have undertaken to get this far and if we stick together we can win the fight. Realistically it was a chance that was very slim that we would win this time around but if we can rally more members and supporters, raise more funds and at least keep an eye on the senators who were elected to stick to their policies then we have an extremely good chance next time. We all need to actively promote the party, keep reminding the media about us. The media cannot ignore us forever. We cannot and will not go away and I for one will be backing Bernie and the rest of the ALA candidates for the future of all Australians. We need people like Bernie and Kirralie over here on the east to actively keep fighting the islam problem. These are two of the most knowledgeable people I have come across who have the guts to stand up against this world wide disease from invading our shores. Just imagine the passion with which they would stand up for all of us in the senate and the factual informed input they would have in the national islamic debate. I wish I had half the knowledge they do but I am reading the quran and hadiths so I can at least have a limited knowledge of what I am so passionate about stopping for the sake of my own as well as all other children and grand children in this great land. Well done team for an excellent result in our first run. Cheers, Bryan

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  6. Just a couple of comments here as the real issues need to be addressed in a bigger forum.
    First, in the seat of Farrer, I preferenced Labor ahead of Liberal. Preferences should never be on the basis of ideology. It is simply maths. How am I most likely to get elected.
    I agree with Howard that we basically had the right policies in place but we failed to prosecute them. We were fighting Islam when we should have been fighting Government incompetence.
    Everywhere I went both before the election and during the campaign our “Policy for Prosperity” was understood, accepted and supported. But the same people and their families would not support ALA.
    What we got was a rejection of what people perceived ALA to be.
    I could recount many, many examples of being told this by people who were sympathetic to other policies.
    In relation to the policy I have brought to the table I would like to stress that it is much more than water. It is about returning to our industrious people the tools of trade they need to be productive. It embraces, power, water, fuel, gas and transport and above all else the removal of restrictive regulation.
    Our prime enemy is the entrenched Green suppression of all that could make us prosperous.
    That is who we should be fighting.
    We have two enemies, one shouting “Allah Akbar” the other shouting “Gaia Akbar.” The second is presently doing us far more damage than than the former.
    Only when we effectively use our vast resources to the advantage of the Australian people, will we get everyone into a job and pay off the national credit card.
    I fully support pulling together the various conservative groups and appreciate this will not be easy.
    There must be a Leader selected, because without this there will be little consensus.
    All the best to everyone working to make our country a better place.
    Ron.

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  7. Now is the time for men with small egos to ISV to a common cause…the redemption of Australia. Men who just keep on giving namelessly. Men who would rather die than support any politician whose actions are treasonous, such as entertaining the enemy at home like Malcolm Turnbull did. Men who will create a network of newsletters to bypass the main stream media completely by writing, forwarding, printing and letterbox dropping the truth to every home across Australia, men who when elected make choices about reducing the drain on the public purse – for example accepting only a token wage and forgoing all ‘perks’,men who know that the only effective antidote to islam is truth – islam can withstand all sorts of attacks but it will crumble if its own people ever learn the truth.
    ISV?? = instantaneous generous volunteering!

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  8. Serious moves are afoot to establish a conservative political party that will achieve exactly what you are talking about. The ALA’s board will not allow more autonomy, or even input, from the members, and that is why there is a revolt going on. I am proud to have been part of the Australian Liberty Alliance, a party that had the guts to oppose Islam and PC, had principled and workable policies, understood economics and the importance of sorting debt out, and had the enterprise to embrace Ron Pike’s water ideas. Now the time has come for something bigger than ALA, that will still use the excellent bunch of policy positions we brought to the election, expand and improve them, and have a proper constitution and structure that will invite like-minded people to contribute ideas, and be an active part of its future growth.

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    • Howard Granger. You have hit the nail on the head. There is a revolt going on in the ALA and I believe that a number of members have resigned. I my self and family are at present just holding on. The Party has got to listen to its members or suffer the same as the major parties otherwise it will not grow.

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    • I fully agree with Howard Granger’s comment above. ALA seemingly could not accept support from anyone except formal “members” and ignored messages offering help. I believe we need to take the best of ALA and the best of several other conservative groups and weld together a fresh new group that will attract the thousands of people who do not want to be tagged “Left” or “Right” but passionately hold to good, solid, traditional values and are proud of our country. Well done, Bernie!

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    • Howard, I agree but our major problem is the basic ignorance of our population. We need to educate the population about the truth of Islam. Keeping the pressure on those few conservatives in Parliament as well as the senators is everyone’s duty.

      Pressure can be asserted by regularly emailing them with up to date information about what they need to understand.

      The majority of politicians think jihad is the act of violence by terrorists. The biggest jihad that is occurring is being allowed by Government. At the smallest and seemingly inconsequential level, Muslims are challenging the laws and customs of the Infidels among whom they have been allowed to settle.

      Stealth jihad toward sharia dominance is being allowed by our ‘leaders.’

      I can give you over 30 events of jihad where our ‘leaders’ have allowed Muslims to establish themselves and their culture into our society, to the exclusion of all others.

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      • If only people would actually read the damn Koran!
        The vocal left refuses to see the truth.

  9. I want Australias Australia BACK!

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    • Can’t understand why you guys did not co-ordinate with Pauline. Your message is very similar. Pauline put in the hard yards with Country people.
      Really disappointed because I know that there would have been a much stronger result if resources were combined.

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