Poor Malcolm Turnbull.
He’s never been so popular in his own mind. And nowhere else.
This is a man who based his ‘coup’ on Newspoll. Remember this:
“The one thing that is clear about our current situation is the trajectory. We have lost 30 Newspolls in a row. It is clear that the people have made up their mind about Mr Abbott’s leadership.”
Those were the words Malcolm Turnbull used to justify his midnight coup.
Life might guarantee death and taxes. But it also guarantees that opinion polling will always turneth against the man too.
And it has. Today’s numbers are nothing more than a little black cloud of repudiation for the man that ousted a PM on the basis that he was repudiated. In one newspaper article the entire moral basis for Turnbull’s time at the top has evaporated.
When Abbott went, the Liberals rated 39% in Newspoll. Today, under Turnbull, they sit on 35%. The ‘Other’ vote is now rapidly closing in, just 6 points behind on 29%. The way things are going, ‘Anybody Else’ will shortly lead Turnbull in the polls.
And that is embarrassing when you’ve campaigned as the Emperor of Popularity.
To make things worse for Malcolm, not even the Yanks know who he is. They’re dealing with a bloke by the name of Prime Minister Trumble. He might not exist but, hey, he’s still doing more than Malcolm. And it seems that he’s a lot more likeable too.
The only thing that can possibly cheer MT up is this fact: however much trouble he’s in, the Liberal Party itself is in an even worse position.
For a start, it is simply pointless. It did something useful in the old days when political parties existed to provide jobs for professional politicians and frustrated voters felt that there was no alternative but to lump it. Those days seem so long ago now.
Now political parties exist to promote political agendas. And the only party now without one is the Liberal/National coalition.
It doesn’t own the ‘progressive’ agenda, even though Malcolm thinks he’s popular because he’s progressive. He was only ever popular in the minds of the media who wanted to see the conservative Liberal Party destroyed. Or in the mind of progressive voters, who continued to vote Labor or Green anyway.
And it doesn’t own the ‘conservative’ agenda anymore either. That used to be why people voted Liberal.
However, that position has long been fraying before it was abruptly terminated on 14 September 2015. On that day conservative Liberals sold out and elected as their leader someone who Labor had tried to recruit. Or they simply found out that the numbers in the Liberal Party room all went the wrong way, even if the membership were incensed.
For those who sold out the price soon became clear. Malcolm Turnbull effectively purchased the Liberal Party over last year for $1.75 million. He might as well own it now, not least because it is clear that without Turnbull’s cash the entire thing might not even be able to run an election campaign.
Throw into this mix the fact that Cory Bernardi is leading the conservatives in a different direction (that would be an actual conservative direction) and all of a sudden one has to wonder what future there is for an organisation that has no values, no agenda, no vision and a dwindling membership base at a time when it is selling the only thing people don’t want: career politicians who want to sit on a fence.
Given all of this, Trumble might stumble on for a little longer. But you really have to feel sorry for the guy that takes up the reigns after him. He’s already finished…